In this Focus Area, CMAC aims to improve our ability to achieve stable solutions to international security challenges.Extremist Violence Project
Extremist Violence Project
The Extremist Violence research program develops new methods for understanding and predicting the sources and dynamics of extremist violence. Underneath this umbrella, CMAC researchers are employing psychological, anthropological, social and economic analyses, big-data sources and statistical modeling and computer simulation to study issues including self-radicalization, religious violence, and terrorism.
The results will increase both the accuracy and efficiency of data-based security intelligence: predicting where and when it is most likely to flare up, identifying how to avoid it, and determining how best to arrest it when it starts. Years active: 2017–Present
- Virginia Modeling, Analysis and Simulation Center (VMASC)
As part of CMAC’s mission to seek global stability, this project is building a computer-simulation tool that will help security experts and policymakers investigate the potential pathways by which weapons of mass destruction (WMD) might make their way into the hands of violent extremist groups. By examining all relational network paths simultaneously, this tool will direct analysts’ attention to less prominent vulnerabilities. It also supports counterfactual scenarios in anticipation of possible changes in international cooperation. This technology will enable governments and other organizations to better predict and prevent the considerable danger that WMDs can pose to nations around the world. Years active: 2017–Present.
- Monica Duffy Toft
- Wesley Wildman (PI)